Sport Picks
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción 
Match Events
2'
2'
Gutierrez T.
Assist: Valdez I.
6'
6'
Ruiz Diaz R.
28'
28'
Sanabria S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 5-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacional Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nacional Asuncion come out ahead of 2 de Mayo on wins alone.
- Model gives Nacional Asuncion a 54% chance of winning this.
- Nacional Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Asuncion | 2 de Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Mar 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
5:1
Oct 17, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Samudio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
2 de Mayo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruiz Diaz R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional Asuncion 95 / 100
2 de Mayo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional Asuncion 2 de Mayo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nacional Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional Asuncion found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
2 de Mayo let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Nacional Asuncion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nacional Asuncion VS 2 de Mayo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Asuncion
(Home) 18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
24 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
09 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0 Guarani
29 Jul
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
2 de Mayo
(Away) 18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
29 Aug
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
29 Aug
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 2 de Mayo
20 Aug
Deportivo Humaita FBC
1 : 4 2 de Mayo
14 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
