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Nacional MG vs Patrocinense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 game between Nacional MG and Patrocinense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nacional MG
39%
Draws
31%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Patrocinense haven't matched Nacional MG's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 20%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional MG Patrocinense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2011 Mineiro 2
Nacional MG vs Patrocinense
1:0
Mar 26, 2011 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Nacional MG
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional MG 31 / 100
Patrocinense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional MG Patrocinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional MG scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Patrocinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Patrocinense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Patrocinense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional MG

(Home)
16 Mar
Villa Nova AC
3 : 1
Nacional MG
09 Mar
Nacional MG
2 : 0
URT
05 Mar
Nacional MG
1 : 4
Cruzeiro
01 Mar
America MG
2 : 1
Nacional MG
25 Feb
Nacional MG
1 : 0
Tombense
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Patrocinense

(Away)
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
28 Jun
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Uberaba
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