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Nacional MG vs Patrocinense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 game between Nacional MG and Patrocinense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nacional MG
15%
Draws
28%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacional MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Patrocinense haven't matched Nacional MG's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Nacional MG taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 20%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional MG Patrocinense
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2011 Mineiro 2
Nacional MG vs Patrocinense
1:0
Mar 26, 2011 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Nacional MG
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional MG 40 / 100
Patrocinense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional MG Patrocinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional MG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional MG scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Patrocinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Patrocinense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Patrocinense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional MG

(Home)
16 Mar
Villa Nova AC
3 : 1
Nacional MG
09 Mar
Nacional MG
2 : 0
URT
05 Mar
Nacional MG
1 : 4
Cruzeiro
01 Mar
America MG
2 : 1
Nacional MG
25 Feb
Nacional MG
1 : 0
Tombense
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Patrocinense

(Away)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
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