Sport Picks

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2023

Nacional Nueva Helvecia

Thu, Sep 21, 2023

2 - 1

11:30 PM

Villa Espanola

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Bone A.

56'

Acevedo A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Copa Uruguay 2023 game between Nacional Nueva Helvecia and Villa Espanola finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional Nueva Helvecia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Nacional Nueva Helvecia

33%

Draws

27%

Villa Espanola

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nacional Nueva Helvecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Villa Espanola come out ahead of Nacional Nueva Helvecia on wins alone.
Nacional Nueva Helvecia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Nacional Nueva Helvecia Clean Sheet 20%

Villa Espanola Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nacional Nueva Helvecia	Villa Espanola
Matches Played	3	29
Wins	1	8
Draws	0	6
Losses	2	15
Goals Scored	1.33	0.38
Goals Conceded	2	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.33	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2023 Copa Uruguay

Nacional Nueva Helvecia vs Villa Espanola

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Nueva Helvecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bone A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.02

Avg xA / game 0.67

Villa Espanola Compare

Top Goalscorer Acevedo A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Nueva Helvecia 40 / 100

Villa Espanola 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nacional Nueva Helvecia Villa Espanola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nacional Nueva Helvecia scored in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Villa Espanola let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Villa Espanola lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Nueva Helvecia VS Villa Espanola

1.33 Goals Scored 0.38

2 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 38%

100% Over 2.5 0%

33% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Huracan Buceo1

Ferro Carril2

TBD-

Bella Vista-

TBD-

CA Cerro-

Tacuarembo-

TBD-

Fenix-

Wanderers Durazno0

Terremoto2

TBD-

Miramar-

TBD-

Wanderers-

Juventud Colonia2

Salto FC1

TBD-

Albion-

TBD-

River Plate Montevideo-

Cooper0

Libertad San Carlos1

TBD-

Uruguay Montevideo FC-

TBD-

Plaza Colonia-

TBD-

Defensor Sp.-

Campana1

Club Atletico Basanez2

TBD-

Cerrito-

Quilmes2

Central Esp.1

TBD-

Rampla Juniors-

TBD-

La Luz-

Lavalleja (Minas)-

Rocha-

TBD-

Juventud-

TBD-

Danubio-

Huracan (Treinta y Tres)0

Lito1

TBD-

Sud America-

TBD-

Penarol-

Universitario Salto-

TBD-

Boston River-

Salus0

Atletico Juanico4

TBD-

Atenas-

TBD-

Liverpool M.-

Colon2

Paysandu Bella Vista1

TBD-

Potencia-

TBD-

Club Nacional-

Nacional Nueva Helvecia2

Villa Espanola1

TBD-

Progreso-

TBD-

Montevideo City-

Central San Jose-

TBD-

Maldonado-

Deutscher0

Sportivo Barracas1

TBD-

Rentistas-

TBD-

Cerro Largo-

Club Oriental De Futbol-

TBD-

Racing Montevideo-

1/32-finals

Ferro Carril1

Bella Vista0

TBD-

CA Cerro-

Tacuarembo-

TBD-

Fenix-

Terremoto1

Miramar2

TBD-

Wanderers-

Juventud Colonia0

Albion5

TBD-

River Plate Montevideo-

Libertad San Carlos0

Uruguay Montevideo FC2

TBD-

Plaza Colonia-

TBD-

Defensor Sp.-

Club Atletico Basanez0

Cerrito1

Quilmes1

Rampla Juniors2

TBD-

La Luz-

Lavalleja (Minas)2

Juventud1

TBD-

Danubio-

Lito0

Sud America2

TBD-

Penarol-

Universitario Salto-

TBD-

Boston River-

Atletico Juanico1

Atenas2

TBD-

Liverpool M.-

Colon2

Potencia3

TBD-

Club Nacional-

Nacional Nueva Helvecia1

Progreso2

TBD-

Montevideo City-

Central San Jose-

TBD-

Maldonado-

Sportivo Barracas2

Rentistas1

TBD-

Cerro Largo-

Club Oriental De Futbol-

TBD-

Racing Montevideo-

1/16-finals

Ferro Carril0

CA Cerro1

Tacuarembo1

Fenix2

Miramar0

Wanderers1

Albion0

River Plate Montevideo2

Uruguay Montevideo FC1

Plaza Colonia2

Defensor Sp.3

Cerrito0

Rampla Juniors2

La Luz3

Lavalleja (Minas)1

Danubio3

Sud America0

Penarol3

Universitario Salto1

Boston River3

Atenas2

Liverpool M.3

Potencia0

Club Nacional4

Progreso1

Montevideo City2

Central San Jose0

Maldonado1

Sportivo Barracas3

Cerro Largo2

Club Oriental De Futbol1

Racing Montevideo0

1/8-finals

CA Cerro2

Fenix1

Wanderers0

River Plate Montevideo4

Plaza Colonia0

Defensor Sp.1

La Luz0

Danubio1

Penarol2

Boston River0

Liverpool M.2

Club Nacional1

Montevideo City2

Maldonado0

Sportivo Barracas2

Club Oriental De Futbol1

Quarter-finals

CA Cerro1

River Plate Montevideo2

Defensor Sp.1

Danubio0

Penarol3

Liverpool M.1

Montevideo City8

Sportivo Barracas1

Semi-finals

River Plate Montevideo1

Defensor Sp.2

Penarol1

Montevideo City3

Final

Defensor Sp.3

Montevideo City2