Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional PB vs CSP

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2023
Nacional PB Logo

Nacional PB

2 - 1
FT
CSP Logo

CSP

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Charles
45' Event
Beckham
84' Event
Sousa Felicio A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2023 game between Nacional PB and CSP finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nacional PB
30%
Draws
42%
CSP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional PB come out ahead of CSP on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 15%
CSP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PB CSP
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs CSP
1:2
Feb 23, 2023 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs CSP
2:1
Mar 15, 2022 Paraibano
CSP vs Nacional PB
4:2
Feb 16, 2022 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs CSP
4:2
Feb 16, 2019 Paraibano
CSP vs Nacional PB
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sousa Felicio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

CSP Compare

Top Goalscorer Beckham
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PB 31 / 100
CSP 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PB CSP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Nacional PB's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

CSP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Nacional PB went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PB VS CSP
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PB

(Home)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
Page 1 of 7

CSP

(Away)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Treze PB 9 4 3 2 11:7 15
3 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 3 2 7:6 15
4 Botafogo PB 9 3 6 0 11:6 15
5 Nacional PB 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
6 Campinense 9 3 5 1 8:6 14
7 CSP 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
8 Serra Branca 9 1 6 2 8:11 9
9 Queimadense 9 0 4 5 6:13 4
10 Auto Esporte 9 0 2 7 7:18 2
Promotion - Paraibano 2023 (Play Offs)