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Nacional PB vs Iguatu

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gabriel Rocha
90' Event
Verdun M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nacional PB
35%
Draws
37%
Iguatu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iguatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Iguatu have won more games recently than Nacional PB.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 16%
Iguatu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PB Iguatu
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 14
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.31 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Nacional PB vs Iguatu
1:1
Jul 16, 2023 Serie D
Nacional PB vs Iguatu
3:1
May 13, 2023 Serie D
Iguatu vs Nacional PB
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Rocha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Iguatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Verdun M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PB 31 / 100
Iguatu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PB Iguatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional PB scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Iguatu has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Nacional PB went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PB VS Iguatu
1.67 Goals Scored 1.63
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PB

(Home)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
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Iguatu

(Away)
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1
Iguatu
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1
Tuna Luso
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