Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional PB vs Treze PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Jose Cavalcanti, Patos
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dione
23'
Sub
Sousa Felicio A. In: Matheus Maranguape
Out: Sousa Felicio A.
38' Event
Schutz

AI Match Summary

Treze PB in this Paraibano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treze PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nacional PB
35%
Draws
30%
Treze PB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treze PB lately — more wins on the board than Nacional PB.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nacional PB have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 15%
Treze PB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PB Treze PB
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 8 18
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Paraibano
Treze PB vs Nacional PB
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Treze PB
1:4
Jan 27, 2024 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Treze PB
2:1
Jan 12, 2023 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Treze PB
2:0
Mar 10, 2022 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Treze PB
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Gean
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Treze PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Dione
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schutz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PB 31 / 100
Treze PB 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PB Treze PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional PB scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Treze PB let in goals in 68% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nacional PB went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PB VS Treze PB
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PB

(Home)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
Page 1 of 6

Treze PB

(Away)
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
18 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
2 : 1
Treze PB
12 Jul
Treze PB
2 : 0
CRAC
04 Jul
CRAC
2 : 1
Treze PB
28 Jun
Treze PB
0 : 0
Jacuipense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)