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Stadium Background

Nacional Potosi vs Botafogo RJ

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
Nacional Potosi Logo

Nacional Potosi

1 - 0
FT
Botafogo RJ Logo

Botafogo RJ

Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Ponte M.
46'
Sub
Nunez M. In: Rojas J.
Out: Nunez M.
46'
Sub
Otormin L. In: Hoyos D.
Out: Otormin L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Nacional Potosi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nacional Potosi
20%
Draws
38%
Botafogo RJ
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo RJ come out ahead of Nacional Potosi on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Nacional Potosi taking it.
  • Botafogo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional Potosi, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 19%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Potosi Botafogo RJ
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Botafogo RJ vs Nacional Potosi
2:0
Feb 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Nacional Potosi vs Botafogo RJ
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldomar O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Botafogo RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Potosi 42 / 100
Botafogo RJ 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Potosi Botafogo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Potosi's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Botafogo RJ has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nacional Potosi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Potosi VS Botafogo RJ
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Potosi

(Home)
26 Jul
Nacional Potosi
4 : 1
Tomayapo
20 Jul
Nacional Potosi
1 : 4
Real Oruro
12 Jul
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
10 Jul
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Aurora
17 May
Guabira
2 : 1
Nacional Potosi
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo RJ

(Away)
26 Jul
Cruzeiro
0 : 1
Botafogo RJ
23 Jul
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Vitoria
16 Jul
Botafogo RJ
2 : 1
Santos
30 May
Bahia
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ
27 May
Caracas
1 : 3
Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Juventud5
U. Catolica4
TBD-
Guarani-
Liverpool M.-
TBD-
TBD-
Ind. Medellin-
The Strongest2
Dep. Tachira3
TBD-
Deportes Tolima-
O Higgins-
TBD-
TBD-
Bahia-
2 de Mayo2
A. Lima1
TBD-
Sporting Cristal-
Carabobo-
TBD-
TBD-
Huachipato-
Barcelona SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Argentinos Jrs-
Nacional Potosi-
TBD-
TBD-
Botafogo RJ-
Semi-finals
Juventud2
Guarani1
Liverpool M.1
Ind. Medellin2
Dep. Tachira1
Deportes Tolima2
O Higgins3
Bahia2
2 de Mayo2
Sporting Cristal3
Carabobo3
Huachipato1
Barcelona SC2
Argentinos Jrs1
Nacional Potosi1
Botafogo RJ2
Final
Juventud2
Ind. Medellin3
Deportes Tolima2
O Higgins1
Sporting Cristal3
Carabobo2
Barcelona SC2
Botafogo RJ1