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Nacional PR vs Parana S.T.C.

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Geandro

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paranaense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Nacional PR
30%
Draws
51%
Parana S.T.C.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Parana S.T.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional PR average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Parana S.T.C.'s 0.93.
  • Model gives Parana S.T.C. a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Nacional PR Clean Sheet 18%
Parana S.T.C. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PR Parana S.T.C.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.23 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Paranaense 2
Nacional PR vs Parana S.T.C.
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PR 10 / 100
Parana S.T.C. 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PR Parana S.T.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parana S.T.C. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional PR found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Parana S.T.C.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Nacional PR remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PR VS Parana S.T.C.
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PR

(Home)
10 May
Patriotas
1 : 0
Nacional PR
02 May
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Patriotas
25 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 1
Nacional PR
18 Apr
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Batel
12 Apr
Nacional PR
1 : 4
Paranavai-PR
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Parana S.T.C.

(Away)
26 Sept
Parana S.T.C.
0 : 0
AA Iguacu
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
12 Sept
Uniao PR
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
05 Sept
Parana S.T.C.
2 : 1
Uniao PR
30 Aug
Parana S.T.C.
1 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galo Maringa 9 7 2 0 18:4 23
2 Paranavai-PR 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
3 Foz do Iguacu 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Patriotas 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
5 Nacional PR 9 3 2 4 9:12 11
6 Batel 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
7 Laranja Mecanica 9 2 4 3 5:9 10
8 Toledo 9 2 3 4 6:13 9
9 AA Iguacu 9 1 3 5 10:14 6
10 Parana S.T.C. 9 1 3 5 7:12 6
Promotion - Paranaense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 (Main)