Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional PR vs Prudentopolis

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Darlysson
41' Event
Mateuzinho
90' Event
Wesley Manga

AI Match Summary

Nacional PR in this Paranaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Nacional PR
20%
Draws
0%
Prudentopolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Prudentopolis lately — more wins on the board than Nacional PR.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nacional PR Clean Sheet 20%
Prudentopolis Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PR Prudentopolis
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.23 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Paranaense 2
Nacional PR vs Prudentopolis
3:0
Apr 19, 2015 Paranaense
Prudentopolis vs Nacional PR
2:2
Apr 12, 2015 Paranaense
Nacional PR vs Prudentopolis
0:0
Mar 29, 2015 Paranaense
Nacional PR vs Prudentopolis
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Darlysson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateuzinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Prudentopolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PR 31 / 100
Prudentopolis 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PR Prudentopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prudentopolis lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Nacional PR found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Nacional PR stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PR VS Prudentopolis
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PR

(Home)
10 May
Patriotas
1 : 0
Nacional PR
02 May
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Patriotas
25 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 1
Nacional PR
18 Apr
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Batel
12 Apr
Nacional PR
1 : 4
Paranavai-PR
Page 1 of 7

Prudentopolis

(Away)
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
18 Apr
Patriotas
2 : 1
Prudentopolis
12 Apr
Prudentopolis
0 : 1
Araucaria
04 Apr
Prudentopolis
0 : 1
Laranja Mecanica
29 Mar
Paranavai-PR
2 : 1
Prudentopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)