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Stadium Background

Nacional SP U20 vs SKA Brasil U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2023 game between Nacional SP U20 and SKA Brasil U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SKA Brasil U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nacional SP U20
30%
Draws
31%
SKA Brasil U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional SP U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • SKA Brasil U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nacional SP U20's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nacional SP U20 Clean Sheet 16%
SKA Brasil U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional SP U20 SKA Brasil U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2023 Paulista U20
SKA Brasil U20 vs Nacional SP U20
2:1
Apr 22, 2023 Paulista U20
Nacional SP U20 vs SKA Brasil U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional SP U20 75 / 100
SKA Brasil U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional SP U20 SKA Brasil U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional SP U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional SP U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: SKA Brasil U20 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Nacional SP U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nacional SP U20 VS SKA Brasil U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional SP U20

(Home)
15 Jan
Internacional U20
3 : 2
Nacional SP U20
13 Jan
Nacional SP U20
2 : 0
CA Juventus U20
10 Jan
Nacional SP U20
3 : 0
Internacional U20
07 Jan
Nacional SP U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa Santista U20
04 Jan
Nacional SP U20
2 : 0
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20
Page 1 of 6

SKA Brasil U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Capivariano U20
3 : 4
SKA Brasil U20
07 Jun
SKA Brasil U20
0 : 0
Guarani U20
01 Jun
Bragantino U20
3 : 0
SKA Brasil U20
24 May
SKA Brasil U20
2 : 1
Metropolitano FC U20
17 May
Paulinia FU U20
1 : 1
SKA Brasil U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 10 8 1 1 40:9 25
2 Rio Preto EC U20 10 8 1 1 30:13 25
3 Tanabi U20 10 5 3 2 20:14 18
4 Olimpia FC U20 10 3 1 6 18:32 10
5 America SP U20 10 2 0 8 15:27 6
6 Fernandopolis U20 10 1 0 9 8:36 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Vocem U20 10 7 1 2 23:6 22
3 Aracatuba FC U20 10 6 2 2 17:5 20
4 Bandeirante U20 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
5 Tupa U20 10 3 1 6 11:20 10
6 Santacruzense U20 10 0 0 10 4:28 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 10 6 3 1 19:5 21
2 Comercial U20 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
3 CA Bandeirante U20 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro U20 10 4 2 4 14:18 14
5 Batatais U20 10 2 1 7 8:16 7
6 Francana U20 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria U20 10 10 0 0 30:2 30
2 Novorizontino U20 10 7 1 2 32:6 22
3 XV de Jau U20 10 5 2 3 23:9 17
4 Monte Azul U20 10 4 1 5 18:21 13
5 CA Taquaritinga U20 10 2 0 8 8:39 6
6 Catanduvense U20 10 0 0 10 3:37 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lemense U20 10 6 3 1 23:7 21
2 Internacional de Limeira U20 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
3 Rio Claro U20 10 5 2 3 24:8 17
4 Velo Clube U20 10 5 2 3 23:15 17
5 Sao Carlos U20 10 2 1 7 20:31 7
6 Uniao Sao Joao U20 10 0 1 9 5:46 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani U20 10 6 2 2 20:10 20
2 Capivariano U20 10 5 3 2 31:14 18
3 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Rio Branco EC U20 10 3 3 4 18:22 12
5 Piracicaba U20 10 3 2 5 11:16 11
6 Independente SP U20 10 1 3 6 10:30 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 10 7 1 2 15:7 22
2 Mogi Mirim U20 10 6 2 2 18:12 20
3 Itapirense U20 10 5 1 4 16:9 16
4 Brasilis U20 10 4 4 2 16:14 16
5 Guacuano U20 10 2 2 6 10:22 8
6 Aguai U20 10 0 2 8 7:18 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo U20 10 9 1 0 32:11 28
2 Osasco Sporting U20 10 6 1 3 19:14 19
3 Ituano U20 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
4 Sao Bento U20 10 4 1 5 15:18 13
5 Sharjah Brasil U20 10 3 0 7 13:19 9
6 Salto U20 10 0 0 10 4:25 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 10 9 0 1 28:2 27
2 Portuguesa U20 10 8 0 2 27:5 24
3 Bragantino U20 10 6 0 4 35:8 18
4 Flamengo SP U20 10 4 0 6 12:18 12
5 Guarulhos U20 10 2 0 8 5:32 6
6 Barcelona EC U20 10 1 0 9 1:43 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 10 7 3 0 25:6 24
2 Juventus-SP U20 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 SKA Brasil U20 10 5 2 3 9:12 17
4 Osasco Audax U20 10 4 5 1 13:10 17
5 Nacional SP U20 10 2 2 6 9:18 8
6 GE Osasco U20 10 0 0 10 4:19 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 10 10 0 0 38:4 30
2 Taubate U20 10 6 1 3 27:11 19
3 Sao Jose EC U20 10 5 2 3 13:7 17
4 AC Guaratingueta U20 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
5 Manthiqueira U20 10 2 0 8 9:39 6
6 CA Joseense U20 10 0 2 8 5:28 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 10 7 3 0 49:8 24
2 Agua Santa U20 10 7 3 0 24:5 24
3 Sao Caetano U20 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
4 Uniao Suzano U20 10 3 1 6 10:20 10
5 Uniao Mogi U20 10 1 1 8 7:34 4
6 ECUS SP U20 10 1 0 9 10:39 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 10 8 1 1 34:6 25
2 EC Sao Bernardo U20 10 5 2 3 22:21 17
3 Jabaquara U20 10 4 1 5 18:20 13
4 Maua FC U20 10 3 2 5 16:25 11
5 Mauaense U20 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
6 Portuguesa Santista U20 10 2 3 5 12:21 9
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams