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Nacional SP vs ECUS SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Nacional SP Logo

Nacional SP

0 - 0
FT
ECUS SP Logo

ECUS SP

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Nacional SP and ECUS SP finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nacional SP
30%
Draws
43%
ECUS SP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ECUS SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ECUS SP come out ahead of Nacional SP on wins alone.
  • Model gives ECUS SP a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Nacional SP Clean Sheet 20%
ECUS SP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional SP ECUS SP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Paulista A4
Nacional SP vs ECUS SP
0:0
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista A4
Nacional SP vs ECUS SP
0:0
May 7, 2023 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs Nacional SP
0:1
Jun 7, 2014 Paulista A4
Nacional SP vs ECUS SP
9:1
May 4, 2014 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs Nacional SP
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional SP 28 / 100
ECUS SP 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional SP ECUS SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECUS SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nacional SP stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nacional SP found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: ECUS SP conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional SP VS ECUS SP
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional SP

(Home)
04 Apr
Nacional SP
0 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
Nacional SP
4 : 1
Colorado Caieiras
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3
Nacional SP
Page 1 of 6

ECUS SP

(Away)
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)