Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Paulista 2020

Nacional SP

3 - 5

Guarani B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-5, with Guarani B advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Nacional SP

20%

Draws

10%

Guarani B

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence

Nacional SP carry the better recent record into this one.
Nacional SP are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Nacional SP have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Guarani B, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Nacional SP Clean Sheet 20%

Guarani B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nacional SP	Guarani B
Matches Played	32	16
Wins	8	3
Draws	9	3
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	0.94	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2020 Copa Paulista

Nacional SP vs Guarani B

3:5

Nov 14, 2020 Copa Paulista

Guarani B vs Nacional SP

2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional SP 67 / 100

Guarani B 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nacional SP Guarani B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional SP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani B let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nacional SP remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Guarani B lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional SP VS Guarani B

0 Goals Scored 0.6

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.8

38% Over 1.5 60%

25% Over 2.5 60%

13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional SP

(Home)

04 Apr

Nacional SP

0 : 1

Inter de Bebedouro

28 Mar

Barretos EC

1 : 0

Nacional SP

25 Mar

Nacional SP

0 : 0

ECUS SP

21 Mar

Nacional SP

4 : 1

Colorado Caieiras

18 Mar

AEA Aracatuba

2 : 3

Nacional SP

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Guarani B

(Away)

16 Aug

Rio Branco SP

2 : 2

Guarani B

11 Aug

Guarani B

1 : 2

Sao Bento

01 Aug

Piracicaba

1 : 0

Guarani B

28 Jul

Guarani B

0 : 3

Primavera EC

19 Jul

Paulista

1 : 0

Guarani B

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