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Nacional U19 vs Belenenses U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacional U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Nacional U19
35%
Draws
0%
Belenenses U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nacional U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Nacional U19 average 1.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Belenenses U19's 0.71.
  • Model gives Nacional U19 a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nacional U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Belenenses U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional U19 Belenenses U19
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 8
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.17 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Belenenses U19
1:0
Feb 18, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Nacional U19
0:1
Oct 29, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Belenenses U19
2:2
Sep 24, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Nacional U19
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Belenenses U19
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional U19 85 / 100
Belenenses U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional U19 Belenenses U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Belenenses U19 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nacional U19 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Belenenses U19 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Belenenses U19
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional U19

(Home)
27 May
Nacional U19
2 : 2
Academica U19
20 May
Vitoria Setubal U19
1 : 1
Nacional U19
13 May
Maritimo U19
0 : 0
Nacional U19
06 May
Nacional U19
1 : 0
Vilafranquense U19
29 Apr
Casa Pia U19
3 : 3
Nacional U19
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Belenenses U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5
Alverca U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
04 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 3
Academico Viseu U19
21 Mar
Academico Viseu U19
3 : 0
Belenenses U19
14 Mar
Torreense U19
4 : 1
Belenenses U19
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