Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Nacional Uberaba average 1.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Araxa's 1.05.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 18%
Araxa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Uberaba | Araxa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 20 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.05 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Araxa
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Araxa
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
4:1
Aug 27, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional Uberaba 36 / 100
Araxa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional Uberaba Araxa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Araxa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional Uberaba's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Nacional Uberaba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Araxa conceded in 50% of 20 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Nacional Uberaba VS Araxa
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Uberaba
(Home) 11 Oct
Juventus Minasnovense
2 : 2 Nacional Uberaba
06 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0 Passos
20 Sept
Essube
3 : 1 Nacional Uberaba
07 Sept
Boa
2 : 0 Nacional Uberaba
01 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1 Paracatu
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06 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0 Passos
01 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1 Paracatu
05 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
4 : 0 Araguari
21 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
2 : 3 Paracatu
18 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
2 : 0 Essube
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Araxa
(Away) 07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1 Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1 Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1 Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0 Pirapora
02 Oct
Mamore
2 : 1 Araxa
Page 1 of 4
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1 Araxa
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1 Araxa
02 Oct
Mamore
2 : 1 Araxa
23 Sept
Paracatu
1 : 0 Araxa
10 Sept
Pirapora
0 : 1 Araxa
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America TO | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Valeriodoce | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Juventus Minasnovense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Boston City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani-MG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Pocos de Caldas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Villa Real | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Tres Coracoes | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Contagem | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Coimbra Esporte Clube | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Inter de Minas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Serranense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamore | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Araxa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Paracatu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 4 | Nacional Uberaba | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Pirapora | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
