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Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Nacional Uberaba and Mamore finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nacional Uberaba
44%
Draws
20%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Mamore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 20%
Mamore Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Uberaba Mamore
Matches Played 27 41
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 16
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore
0:0
Sep 25, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
0:2
Mar 1, 2014 Mineiro 2
Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore
0:2
Feb 5, 2014 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Uberaba 36 / 100
Mamore 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Uberaba Mamore

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Uberaba's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Mamore has conceded goals in 66% of their last 41 outings.

Nacional Uberaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Uberaba VS Mamore
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.6 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 38%
40% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

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1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
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1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163