Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014

Mamore

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nacional Uberaba play Mamore in the Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nacional Uberaba averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Mamore averaged 0.86 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Nacional Uberaba won 1, Mamore won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 28, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Nacional Uberaba and 1.05 for Mamore. This points to a Nacional Uberaba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Nacional Uberaba

33%

Draws

31%

Mamore

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nacional Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Nacional Uberaba picked up more points recently compared to Mamore.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 22%

Mamore Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nacional Uberaba	Mamore
Matches Played	27	35
Wins	9	9
Draws	6	13
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.3	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.48	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.60	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Mineiro 3

Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sep 25, 2023 Mineiro 3

Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Sep 10, 2022 Mineiro 3

Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Mar 1, 2014 Mineiro 2

Nacional Uberaba vs Mamore

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

0:2

Feb 5, 2014 Mineiro 2

Mamore vs Nacional Uberaba

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Uberaba 37 / 100

Mamore 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nacional Uberaba Mamore

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nacional Uberaba or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nacional Uberaba attacking → ← attacking Mamore

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Uberaba scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Mamore let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Nacional Uberaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mamore lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 40

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.60 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38