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Nacional Uberaba vs Pirapora

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacional Uberaba in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional Uberaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nacional Uberaba
6%
Draws
4%
Pirapora
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacional Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pirapora haven't matched Nacional Uberaba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nacional Uberaba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 20%
Pirapora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Uberaba Pirapora
Matches Played 27 8
Wins 9 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.25 0.33
Goals Conceded 1 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pirapora vs Nacional Uberaba
2:0
Sep 16, 2023 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Pirapora
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Uberaba 85 / 100
Pirapora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Uberaba Pirapora

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pirapora conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Nacional Uberaba scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Nacional Uberaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Uberaba VS Pirapora
1.25 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 3.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
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1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163