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Nacional Uberaba vs Serranense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Nacional Uberaba and Serranense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serranense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nacional Uberaba
35%
Draws
19%
Serranense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nacional Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional Uberaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nacional Uberaba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 19%
Serranense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Uberaba Serranense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.2 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.40 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2022 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Serranense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Uberaba 85 / 100
Serranense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Uberaba Serranense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Uberaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serranense has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Nacional Uberaba scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Nacional Uberaba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Serranense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Uberaba VS Serranense
2.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Uberaba

(Home)
11 Oct
Juventus Minasnovense
2 : 2
Nacional Uberaba
06 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Passos
20 Sept
Essube
3 : 1
Nacional Uberaba
07 Sept
Boa
2 : 0
Nacional Uberaba
01 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Paracatu
Page 1 of 6

Serranense

(Away)
11 Oct
Serranense
0 : 1
Boston City
05 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
6 : 1
Serranense
27 Sept
Serranense
2 : 2
Tupi-MG
20 Sept
Novo Esporte
3 : 0
Serranense
06 Sept
Serranense
0 : 0
Uniao Luziense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)