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Nacional Uberaba vs Serranense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Nacional Uberaba and Serranense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serranense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nacional Uberaba
6%
Draws
4%
Serranense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacional Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nacional Uberaba's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Serranense have produced (0.83).
  • Nacional Uberaba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 19%
Serranense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Uberaba Serranense
Matches Played 28 38
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 2.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2022 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Serranense
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Uberaba 85 / 100
Serranense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Uberaba Serranense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nacional Uberaba scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Serranense has conceded goals in 79% of their last 38 outings.

Solid form: Nacional Uberaba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Serranense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Uberaba VS Serranense
2.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Esporte Clube751112:516
2Valeriodoce751111:516
3America TO742111:614
4Novo Esporte741213:813
5Boston City723211:89
6Contagem72238:78
7Juventus Minasnovense71068:143
8Ideal FC70070:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabirito760112:118
2Villa Real74127:413
3Santarritense73318:412
4Tres Coracoes731312:1310
5Passos72325:59
6Figueirense Esporte Clube71426:107
7Betis71335:86
8Pocos de Caldas70162:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
6Serranense71338:106
7Paracatu71337:126
8Sao Gotardo70254:132