Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2014/2015 Estádio da Madeira, Funchal

Nacional

2 - 1

Santa Maria FC

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Suk Hyun-Jun

13'

Cabreira

27'

Matias M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nacional in this Taça de Portugal 2014/2015 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Nacional

Draws

Santa Maria FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Nacional at 0.38 per game, Santa Maria FC at 0.
Nacional are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Nacional, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Nacional Clean Sheet 68%

Santa Maria FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nacional	Santa Maria FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	7
Draws	8	11
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	0.38	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2014 Taça de Portugal

Nacional vs Santa Maria FC

2:1

Oct 20, 2013 Taça de Portugal

Santa Maria FC vs Nacional

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Matias M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Suk Hyun-Jun

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Santa Maria FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional 95 / 100

Santa Maria FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nacional Santa Maria FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Maria FC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Nacional scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Nacional remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional VS -

0.38 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional

(Home)

22 Jul

Nacional

0 : 0

Leganes

19 Jul

Tondela

1 : 1

Nacional

18 Jul

Nacional

3 : 3

Leixoes

11 Jul

Nacional

1 : 2

Machico

16 May

Nacional

2 : 0

Vitoria Guimaraes

Page 1 of 6

Santa Maria FC

(Away)

22 Oct

Penafiel

3 : 0

Santa Maria FC

24 Sept

SC Salgueiros

0 : 1

Santa Maria FC

24 May

SC Vianense

2 : 0

Santa Maria FC

17 May

Santa Maria FC

0 : 1

Vilaverdense FC

10 May

Cerveira

2 : 2

Santa Maria FC

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Braga-

TBD-

Minas de Argozelo-

TBD-

Piense2

Alcains3

Moura AC3

Sobrado2

TBD-

CDC Montalegre-

TBD-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

Moreirense-

TBD-

Anadia-

TBD-

Pedras Rubras-

Covilha-

TBD-

FC Cesarense-

TBD-

Benfica-

Freamunde-

TBD-

Agueda-

Ribeirinha-

TBD-

Merelinense2

FC Felgueiras3

Vitoria Sernache-

TBD-

SC Angrense-

Sacavenense-

TBD-

Vieira-

Trofense-

TBD-

Nogueirense1

Febres0

Atletico Ouriense3

Soito1

TBD-

Pedras Salgadas-

AD Oliveirense-

TBD-

Correlha0

GS Loures2

TBD-

BSAD-

Gil Vicente-

TBD-

Portimonense-

TBD-

Real SC-

Estoril-

TBD-

Malveira4

Lusitano VRSA1

SC Mirandela1

Varzim2

Aves-

TBD-

Aljustrelense-

TBD-

Boavista-

Tondela-

TBD-

Electrico FC-

TBD-

Penafiel-

Chaves-

TBD-

Louletano-

Silves FC-

TBD-

Cova De Piedade-

Amora-

TBD-

U. Madeira-

Mafra1

Amarante FC0

TBD-

Feirense-

Oliveirense-

TBD-

Oliveira Hospital1

Uniao Montemor4

Mosteirense-

TBD-

SC Salgueiros-

Coimbroes-

TBD-

Cinfaes-

TBD-

Rio Ave-

Nacional-

TBD-

Lusitania FC-

TBD-

Alcanenense-

Torreense-

TBD-

Marinhense-

CD Gouveia-

TBD-

Ribeirao-

Santa Eulalia-

TBD-

Leixoes-

Santa Clara-

TBD-

GD Sourense-

Academica-

TBD-

Caldas SC3

Fazendense2

GD Braganca1

Santa Maria FC2

Oriental-

TBD-

SC Farense-

CDR Quarteirense-

TBD-

Olhanense-

Arouca-

TBD-

Vitoria Setubal-

Atletico CP-

TBD-

Moimenta da Beira-

Sintrense-

TBD-

Beira Mar-

Gondomar-

TBD-

Vilaverdense FC-

TBD-

Maritimo-

Famalicao3

Ferreiras0

TBD-

Academico Viseu-

AD Limianos1

Fabril do Barreiro0

TBD-

SC Pombal-

Mortagua FC-

TBD-

Camara de Lobos-

Naval-

TBD-

Pinhalnovense0

AD Fafe1

Riachense4

Sao Joao de Ver3

TBD-

SC Praiense-

Sertanense2

FC Pampilhosa0

TBD-

SB Castelo Branco-

Atletico SC5

GD Tourizense3

TBD-

Paivense-

TBD-

Pacos Ferreira-

Vizela3

Cerveira1

Gafanha0

Sousense2

SC Vila Real2

1º Dezembro1

TBD-

Casa Pia-

Tirsense-

TBD-

Leiria-

Lusitano FCV2

Estarreja0

TBD-

Operario-

SC Espinho1

Camacha0

TBD-

Sanjoanense-

SC Vianense2

Viana Alentejo0

TBD-

Serzedo-

FC Porto-

TBD-

Sporting CP-

1/64-finals

Braga-

TBD-

Minas de Argozelo0

Alcains1

Moura AC2

CDC Montalegre0

TBD-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

Moreirense-

TBD-

Anadia1

Pedras Rubras2

Covilha3

FC Cesarense1

TBD-

Benfica-

Freamunde2

Agueda1

Ribeirinha0

FC Felgueiras3

Vitoria Sernache1

SC Angrense0

Sacavenense0

Vieira1

Trofense6

Febres0

Atletico Ouriense1

Pedras Salgadas2

AD Oliveirense3

GS Loures2

TBD-

BSAD-

Gil Vicente-

TBD-

Portimonense1

Real SC2

Estoril-

TBD-

Malveira1

Varzim5

Aves3

Aljustrelense0

TBD-

Boavista-

Tondela3

Electrico FC2

TBD-

Penafiel-

Chaves3

Louletano1

Silves FC0

Cova De Piedade1

Amora3

U. Madeira2

Mafra1

Feirense2

Oliveirense2

Uniao Montemor0

Mosteirense0

SC Salgueiros4

Coimbroes2

Cinfaes1

TBD-

Rio Ave-

Nacional-

TBD-

Lusitania FC0

Alcanenense2

Torreense6

Marinhense0

CD Gouveia0

Ribeirao4

Santa Eulalia2

Leixoes1

Santa Clara1

GD Sourense2

Academica-

TBD-

Caldas SC1

Santa Maria FC2

Oriental3

SC Farense2

CDR Quarteirense0

Olhanense2

Arouca-

TBD-

Vitoria Setubal-

Atletico CP4

Moimenta da Beira0

Sintrense2

Beira Mar4

Gondomar2

Vilaverdense FC1

TBD-

Maritimo-

Famalicao2

Academico Viseu1

AD Limianos0

SC Pombal1

Mortagua FC2

Camara de Lobos0

Naval0

AD Fafe2

Riachense3

SC Praiense2

Sertanense0

SB Castelo Branco1

Atletico SC3

Paivense1

TBD-

Pacos Ferreira-

Vizela4

Sousense3

SC Vila Real2

Casa Pia3

Tirsense2

Leiria1

Lusitano FCV1

Operario2

SC Espinho1

Sanjoanense0

SC Vianense0

Serzedo1

FC Porto-

TBD-

Sporting CP-

1/32-finals

Braga4

Alcains1

Moura AC0

Vitoria Guimaraes2

Moreirense2

Pedras Rubras1

Covilha2

Benfica3

Freamunde3

FC Felgueiras2

Vitoria Sernache1

Vieira2

Trofense3

Pedras Salgadas1

AD Oliveirense2

BSAD3

Gil Vicente2

Real SC1

Estoril1

Varzim2

Aves4

Boavista1

Tondela2

Penafiel3

Chaves7

Cova De Piedade0

Amora1

Feirense5

Oliveirense3

SC Salgueiros1

Coimbroes0

Rio Ave1

Nacional6

Alcanenense1

Torreense0

Ribeirao2

Santa Eulalia1

GD Sourense0

Academica0

Santa Maria FC1

Oriental4

Olhanense2

Arouca0

Vitoria Setubal1

Atletico CP3

Beira Mar0

Gondomar0

Maritimo4

Famalicao2

SC Pombal1

Mortagua FC1

AD Fafe3

Riachense2

SB Castelo Branco1

Atletico SC0

Pacos Ferreira4

Vizela4

Casa Pia1

Tirsense1

Operario3

SC Espinho2

Serzedo1

FC Porto1

Sporting CP3

1/16-finals

Braga2

Vitoria Guimaraes1

Moreirense1

Benfica4

Freamunde1

Vieira0

Trofense0

BSAD5

Gil Vicente2

Varzim1

Aves0

Penafiel1

Chaves2

Feirense0

Oliveirense0

Rio Ave2

Nacional2

Ribeirao0

Santa Eulalia1

Santa Maria FC2

Oriental1

Vitoria Setubal0

Atletico CP0

Maritimo2

Famalicao4

AD Fafe0

Riachense0

Pacos Ferreira9

Vizela3

Operario2

SC Espinho0

Sporting CP5

1/8-finals

Braga2

Benfica1

Freamunde0

BSAD2

Gil Vicente2

Penafiel1

Chaves0

Rio Ave2

Nacional2

Santa Maria FC1

Oriental1

Maritimo2

Famalicao2

Pacos Ferreira1

Vizela2

Sporting CP3

Quarter-finals

Braga7

BSAD1

Gil Vicente2

Rio Ave5

Nacional2

Maritimo1

Famalicao0

Sporting CP4

Semi-finals

Braga4

Rio Ave1

Nacional2

Sporting CP3

Final

Braga2

Sporting CP3