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Nacka FC vs FC Jarfalla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025
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Match Events

6' Event
Lohake A.
17' Event
Bangus B. B.
31' Event
Wurtz A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 game between Nacka FC and FC Jarfalla finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Jarfalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Nacka FC
22%
Draws
60%
FC Jarfalla
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Jarfalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Jarfalla come out ahead of Nacka FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Jarfalla a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 10%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacka FC FC Jarfalla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Nacka FC vs FC Jarfalla
2:4
Jun 14, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Nacka FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lohake A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bangus B. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahir K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wurtz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacka FC 18 / 100
FC Jarfalla 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacka FC FC Jarfalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Nacka FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Jarfalla has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: FC Jarfalla has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacka FC VS FC Jarfalla
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacka FC

(Home)
25 Jun
Nykopings
4 : 1
Nacka FC
21 Jun
Nacka FC
0 : 1
Eker Orebro
14 Jun
Lindo FF
4 : 0
Nacka FC
06 Jun
Nacka FC
1 : 5
Haninge
29 May
Nacka FC
0 : 2
Nykopings
Page 1 of 6

FC Jarfalla

(Away)
28 Jun
Umea FC
1 : 3
FC Jarfalla
23 Jun
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
18 Jun
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
13 Jun
FC Jarfalla
2 : 3
FC Arlanda
08 Jun
FC Jarfalla
1 : 6
IFK Stocksund
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Jarfalla26194360:1961
2Falu BS26167353:2455
3Bollstanas26145757:3647
4Sunnersta AIF26136756:4045
5Viggbyholms26136753:4345
6Nacka FC261331065:4542
7IK Franke26108849:4638
8Taby FK261041255:4734
9Kungsangen26961137:3633
10Skiljebo26871143:5231
11Korsnas26871140:5731
12Gute26641639:5522
13Ytterhogdal26422028:9014
14Osteraker IFK26251928:7311
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 (Relegation)