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Nacka FC vs Ragsved

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
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Match Events

88' Event
Aurell C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Nacka FC and Ragsved finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacka FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nacka FC
20%
Draws
47%
Ragsved
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ragsved

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ragsved carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nacka FC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ragsved Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacka FC Ragsved
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Ragsved
1:0
Mar 27, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Ragsved vs Nacka FC
1:0
Sep 27, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Ragsved vs Nacka FC
3:1
Apr 28, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Ragsved
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aurell C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ragsved Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacka FC 36 / 100
Ragsved 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacka FC Ragsved

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ragsved has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Nacka FC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nacka FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacka FC VS Ragsved
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacka FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Nacka FC
1 : 4
Karlslund
26 Sept
Fittja IF
1 : 2
Nacka FC
19 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Ragsved
12 Sept
Sleipner
1 : 0
Nacka FC
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
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Ragsved

(Away)
03 Oct
Eker Orebro
1 : 3
Ragsved
26 Sept
Ragsved
2 : 2
Orebro Syrianska
19 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Ragsved
12 Sept
Lindo FF
1 : 2
Ragsved
04 Sept
Ragsved
2 : 1
Haninge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)