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Nacka FC vs Ytterhogdal

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Khalil A.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Kigongo S.
34' Event
Zackrisson G.

AI Match Summary

Nacka FC in this Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 matchup, with the score ending 10-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacka FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nacka FC
6%
Draws
90%
Ytterhogdal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ytterhogdal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nacka FC lately — more wins on the board than Ytterhogdal.
  • Win probability leans Ytterhogdal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 10%
Ytterhogdal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacka FC Ytterhogdal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 2 3.33
Goals Conceded 2.63 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Ytterhogdal vs Nacka FC
5:4
Jun 22, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Ytterhogdal
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalil A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Herre E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ytterhogdal Compare

Avg xG / game 3.03
Avg xA / game 1.85

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacka FC 10 / 100
Ytterhogdal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacka FC Ytterhogdal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YTT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ytterhogdal conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 9.50 goals per match.

Nacka FC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Ytterhogdal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacka FC VS Ytterhogdal
2 Goals Scored 3.33
2.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Jarfalla26194360:1961
2Falu BS26167353:2455
3Bollstanas26145757:3647
4Sunnersta AIF26136756:4045
5Viggbyholms26136753:4345
6Nacka FC261331065:4542
7IK Franke26108849:4638
8Taby FK261041255:4734
9Kungsangen26961137:3633
10Skiljebo26871143:5231
11Korsnas26871140:5731
12Gute26641639:5522
13Ytterhogdal26422028:9014
14Osteraker IFK26251928:7311