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Nadi vs Lautoka

Fiji Fiji

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cavuilagi S.
Own Goal
84' Event
Cavuilagi S.
86' Event
Ali S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Nadi and Lautoka finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lautoka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Nadi
15%
Draws
26%
Lautoka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nadi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nadi haven't matched Lautoka's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Nadi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lautoka here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Nadi Clean Sheet 16%
Lautoka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nadi Lautoka
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Nadi vs Lautoka
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Nadi vs Lautoka
1:2
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Lautoka vs Nadi
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League
Nadi vs Lautoka
2:3
Apr 7, 2024 Premier League
Lautoka vs Nadi
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nadi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lautoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavuilagi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ali S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadi 66 / 100
Lautoka 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nadi Lautoka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nadi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nadi scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Lautoka let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nadi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nadi VS Lautoka
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadi

(Home)
09 Aug
Nadi
3 : 2
Nadroga
31 Jul
Nasinu
2 : 3
Nadi
26 Jul
Nadi
1 : 1
Rewa
19 Jul
Tailevu Naitasiri
1 : 0
Nadi
12 Jul
Nadi
2 : 3
Labasa
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Lautoka

(Away)
14 Aug
Labasa
5 : 3
Lautoka
02 Aug
Lautoka
3 : 1
Nadroga
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Lautoka
1 : 2
Nasinu
12 Jul
Navua
2 : 1
Lautoka
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 17 12 3 2 53:14 39
2 Labasa 17 10 5 2 37:20 35
3 Rewa 16 10 2 4 39:15 32
4 Lautoka 17 6 5 6 35:34 23
5 Nadi 17 6 3 8 24:27 21
6 Nasinu 17 6 3 8 27:40 21
7 Suva 17 5 5 7 31:28 20
8 Navua 16 5 4 7 22:23 19
9 Nadroga 17 3 4 10 22:43 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 17 2 4 11 19:65 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)