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Nadur vs Birkirkara Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Danilo Quipapa
28' Event
Marcelinho
49' Event
Orlandic P.

AI Match Summary

Birkirkara in this FA Trophy 2018/2019 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Nadur
15%
Draws
59%
Birkirkara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkirkara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nadur have won more games recently than Birkirkara.
  • Model gives Birkirkara a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Nadur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkirkara, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Birkirkara have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Nadur Clean Sheet 20%
Birkirkara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nadur Birkirkara
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 16 14
Draws 0 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.53 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 FA Trophy
Birkirkara vs Nadur
4:0
Dec 1, 2019 FA Trophy
Birkirkara vs Nadur
1:0
Dec 2, 2018 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Birkirkara
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nadur Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Birkirkara Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilo Quipapa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadur 10 / 100
Birkirkara 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nadur Birkirkara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birkirkara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nadur scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Birkirkara has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Nadur remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nadur VS Birkirkara
0 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadur

(Home)
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0
Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4
Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1
Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2
Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6

Birkirkara

(Away)
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
12 Sept
Birkirkara
1 : 1
Hibernians
06 Sept
Sliema
2 : 1
Birkirkara
30 Aug
Mosta FC
1 : 0
Birkirkara
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0
Hamrun
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 2
Xbiex 0
Marsaskala FC 0
Dingli Swallows 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 8
Oratory 0
TBD -
Xewkija -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
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Senglea -
St. Andrews -
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Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Floriana -
Nadur 4
Munxar 0
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
Msida 0
Victoria Hotspurs 8
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Pembroke -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug Rovers -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
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Qormi -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 2
St. Lawrence 0
Mtarfa 0
Victoria Wanderers 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
Qala Saints 1
Gharghur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
1/64-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 2
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 0
Xewkija 2
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 1
Kirkop 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 4
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Attard 1
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Mdina 1
Zebbug Rovers 0
Xghajra 1
Gharb 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Ghaxaq 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
TBD -
Fgura -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Marsa -
TBD -
Xaghra 1
Gharghur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Qrendi 3
Gudja 2
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 1
Xewkija 6
Zebbug 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Santa Lucia 2
Birzebbuga 3
Vittoriosa 2
Kirkop 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Nadur 7
Zabbar 0
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Luqa 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Siggiewi 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Swieqi 0
Melita 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
St. Venera 0
Pembroke 3
Mdina 2
Gharb 1
TBD -
Pieta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
San Gwann 2
Mgarr 1
Ghaxaq 1
Fgura 4
Lija 4
St. George's FC 0
Kalkara 0
Mellieha 2
Marsa 5
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Valletta -
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 5
Qrendi 1
Gudja 1
Xewkija 2
Zebbug 5
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 0
Tarxien 3
Mosta FC 3
Senglea 2
St. Andrews 0
Sliema 2
Hamrun 1
Floriana 0
Nadur 0
Birkirkara 4
Gzira 4
Rabat Ajax 0
Siggiewi 1
Melita 3
Zejtun 2
Pembroke 0
Mdina 1
Pieta 4
Hibernians 5
Qormi 1
San Gwann 0
Fgura 1
Lija 5
Mellieha 0
Marsa 0
Valletta 3
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 6
Xewkija 1
Zebbug 0
Tarxien 5
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 1
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 4
Melita 2
Zejtun 0
Pieta 2
Hibernians 4
Fgura 0
Lija 1
Valletta 7
Quarter-finals
Balzan FC 2
Tarxien 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 2
Pieta 1
Hibernians 2
Valletta 3
Semi-finals
Balzan FC 3
Birkirkara 2
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Final
Balzan FC 5
Valletta 4