Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Nadur in this FA Trophy 2012/2013 tie, finishing 8-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharb
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Nadur have won more games recently than Gharb.
- 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Nadur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nadur, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nadur Clean Sheet 20%
Gharb Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nadur | Gharb |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 7 |
| Wins | 17 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.71 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 3.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.27 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2016 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Gharb
7:1
Sep 9, 2012 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Gharb
8:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nadur 31 / 100
Gharb 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nadur Gharb
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nadur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gharb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 7 matches.
H2H data points to 8.50 goals as a typical output.
Nadur found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Gharb's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nadur VS Gharb
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nadur
(Home) 01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4 Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1 Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2 Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2 St. Andrews
Page 1 of 7
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4 Birzebbuga
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2 Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2 St. Andrews
19 Nov
Nadur
7 : 1 Vittoriosa
08 Dec
Nadur
7 : 0 Oratory
Page 1 of 4
Gharb
(Away) 15 Sept
Gharb
0 : 2 Xewkija
28 Oct
Mdina
2 : 1 Gharb
06 Sept
Gharb
2 : 1 Xghajra
09 Sept
Nadur
7 : 1 Gharb
03 Sept
Xghajra
1 : 2 Gharb
Page 1 of 2
28 Oct
Mdina
2 : 1 Gharb
09 Sept
Nadur
7 : 1 Gharb
03 Sept
Xghajra
1 : 2 Gharb
09 Sept
Nadur
8 : 1 Gharb
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija 5
Qala Saints 0
TBD -
Pembroke -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Sirens 3
Mgarr -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Victoria Wanderers 3
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gharghur -
TBD -
Xghajra 0
Mtarfa 5
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 8
Sannat Lions 2
Kalkara 0
Mdina 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 2
Ghaxaq 1
TBD -
Zabbar -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
St. Venera -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Xaghra 2
Luqa 4
Qrendi 1
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Munxar 1
Xbiex 2
Kercem Ajax 4
Ghajnsielem 2
St. Lawrence 0
Senglea 2
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/32-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Pembroke 3
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira 1
Sirens 0
Mgarr 1
Victoria Wanderers 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Balzan FC -
St. Andrews 2
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 1
Msida 2
Zurrieq 4
Fgura 0
Kirkop 0
Mqabba FC 3
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gharghur 4
Mtarfa 1
Siggiewi 1
Lija 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zejtun 3
San Gwann 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Nadur 1
Sannat Lions 6
Swieqi 1
Marsa 1
Zabbar 2
Pieta 1
St. George's FC 0
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Zebbug 3
Mellieha 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. Venera 3
Xaghra 2
Luqa 1
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja 6
Xbiex 0
Kercem Ajax 1
Senglea 2
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/16-finals
Qormi 5
Pembroke 2
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
Naxxar Lions 3
Balzan FC 4
St. Andrews 2
Msida 0
Zurrieq 1
Mqabba FC 2
Floriana 2
Melita 0
Gharghur 1
Lija 2
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Zejtun 1
Nadur 3
Sannat Lions 2
Zabbar 1
Pieta 0
Rabat Ajax 1
Zebbug 2
Sliema 1
St. Venera 1
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Hibernians 2
1/8-finals
Qormi 2
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Balzan FC 3
St. Andrews 4
Mqabba FC 1
Floriana 0
Lija 1
Valletta 2
Nadur 0
Sannat Lions 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Zebbug 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Gudja 0
Hibernians 4
Quarter-finals
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 0
St. Andrews 0
Lija 1
Valletta 3
Rabat Ajax 0
Zebbug 0
Hibernians 3
Semi-finals
Qormi 1
Lija 0
Valletta 2
Hibernians 3
Final
Qormi 1
Hibernians 3
