Sport Picks

Malta

FA Trophy 2015/2016

Nadur

1 - 0

Mdina

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Nadur advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Nadur

15%

Draws

57%

Mdina

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mdina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Nadur come out ahead of Mdina on wins alone.
Model gives Nadur a 28% chance of winning this.
Nadur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Nadur, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Nadur Clean Sheet 20%

Mdina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nadur	Mdina
Matches Played	31	12
Wins	17	3
Draws	0	0
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	2.71	1
Goals Conceded	1.55	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2015 FA Trophy

Nadur vs Mdina

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadur 49 / 100

Mdina 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nadur Mdina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nadur Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mdina let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Attacking prowess: Nadur scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Mdina has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nadur VS Mdina

3.25 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 3

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 75%

75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadur

(Home)

01 Mar

Xewkija

1 : 0

Nadur

07 Dec

Nadur

1 : 4

Birzebbuga

07 Dec

Valletta

3 : 1

Nadur

14 Jan

Nadur

1 : 2

Sirens

13 Dec

Nadur

3 : 2

St. Andrews

Page 1 of 7

Mdina

(Away)

06 Sept

Victoria Hotspurs

7 : 0

Mdina

30 Nov

Mdina

1 : 4

Pieta

28 Oct

Mdina

2 : 1

Gharb

09 Sept

Zebbug Rovers

0 : 1

Mdina

10 Sept

Mdina

2 : 3

Mellieha

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sliema -

TBD -

Kercem Ajax -

TBD -

Kalkara -

TBD -

Vittoriosa -

St. Venera -

TBD -

Xaghra -

TBD -

Birzebbuga -

Zurrieq -

TBD -

Gharghur -

Gzira -

TBD -

Sirens -

Nadur -

TBD -

Mdina -

TBD -

Zabbar -

Swieqi -

TBD -

Gharb -

TBD -

Xbiex -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

Floriana -

TBD -

Victoria Wanderers -

TBD -

Attard -

Oratory 5

Marsaskala FC 1

TBD -

St. Lawrence -

Naxxar Lions -

TBD -

Mellieha -

TBD -

Lija -

Valletta -

TBD -

Marsa -

TBD -

Luqa -

TBD -

Xewkija -

Kirkop -

TBD -

Santa Lucia -

TBD -

Mtarfa -

TBD -

Birkirkara -

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Siggiewi -

TBD -

Fgura -

Rabat Ajax -

TBD -

Msida -

Mgarr -

TBD -

Melita -

Qormi -

TBD -

Dingli Swallows -

TBD -

Munxar -

Xghajra -

TBD -

Ghajnsielem -

Zebbug -

TBD -

Qrendi -

TBD -

Tarxien -

Pieta -

TBD -

Senglea -

Marsaxlokk -

TBD -

Ghaxaq -

TBD -

Zejtun -

Mqabba FC -

TBD -

Qala Saints -

TBD -

Victoria Hotspurs -

Hamrun -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Hibernians -

TBD -

Mosta FC -

San Gwann -

TBD -

Gudja -

TBD -

Pembroke -

1/64-finals

Sliema -

TBD -

Kercem Ajax 6

Kalkara 0

TBD -

Vittoriosa -

St. Venera 5

Xaghra 3

TBD -

Birzebbuga -

Zurrieq -

TBD -

Gharghur -

Gzira -

TBD -

Sirens -

Nadur 1

Mdina 0

TBD -

Zabbar -

Swieqi -

TBD -

Gharb 0

Xbiex 4

TBD -

St. Andrews -

Floriana -

TBD -

Victoria Wanderers 3

Attard 1

Oratory 0

St. Lawrence 1

Naxxar Lions -

TBD -

Mellieha -

TBD -

Lija -

Valletta -

TBD -

Marsa -

TBD -

Luqa 0

Xewkija 4

Kirkop -

TBD -

Santa Lucia 0

Mtarfa 1

TBD -

Birkirkara -

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Siggiewi -

TBD -

Fgura -

Rabat Ajax -

TBD -

Msida -

Mgarr -

TBD -

Melita -

Qormi -

TBD -

Dingli Swallows 2

Munxar 0

Xghajra 0

Ghajnsielem 1

Zebbug -

TBD -

Qrendi -

TBD -

Tarxien -

Pieta -

TBD -

Senglea -

Marsaxlokk 2

Ghaxaq 1

TBD -

Zejtun -

Mqabba FC -

TBD -

Qala Saints 0

Victoria Hotspurs 5

Hamrun -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Hibernians -

TBD -

Mosta FC -

San Gwann -

TBD -

Gudja -

TBD -

Pembroke -

1/32-finals

Sliema -

TBD -

Kercem Ajax 0

Vittoriosa 2

St. Venera 2

Birzebbuga 1

Zurrieq 1

Gharghur 2

Gzira 6

Sirens 0

Nadur 1

Zabbar 6

Swieqi 2

Xbiex 1

TBD -

St. Andrews -

Floriana -

TBD -

Victoria Wanderers 2

St. Lawrence 4

Naxxar Lions -

TBD -

Mellieha 1

Lija 2

Valletta -

TBD -

Marsa 2

Xewkija 4

Kirkop 3

Mtarfa 2

TBD -

Birkirkara -

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Siggiewi 0

Fgura 3

Rabat Ajax 4

Msida 1

Mgarr 1

Melita 3

Qormi -

TBD -

Dingli Swallows 1

Ghajnsielem 2

Zebbug 4

Qrendi 1

TBD -

Tarxien -

Pieta 2

Senglea 1

Marsaxlokk 0

Zejtun 1

Mqabba FC 5

Victoria Hotspurs 3

Hamrun 0

St. George's FC 1

Hibernians -

TBD -

Mosta FC -

San Gwann 1

Gudja 0

TBD -

Pembroke -

1/16-finals

Sliema 1

Vittoriosa 0

St. Venera 0

Gharghur 2

Gzira 3

Zabbar 0

Swieqi 2

St. Andrews 4

Floriana 3

St. Lawrence 0

Naxxar Lions 0

Lija 1

Valletta 3

Xewkija 1

Kirkop 0

Birkirkara 6

Balzan FC 2

Fgura 1

Rabat Ajax 1

Melita 4

Qormi 1

Ghajnsielem 0

Zebbug 1

Tarxien 4

Pieta 4

Zejtun 1

Mqabba FC 0

St. George's FC 1

Hibernians 2

Mosta FC 1

San Gwann 0

Pembroke 3

1/8-finals

Sliema 2

Gharghur 1

Gzira 1

St. Andrews 2

Floriana 2

Lija 1

Valletta 0

Birkirkara 1

Balzan FC 2

Melita 0

Qormi 1

Tarxien 4

Pieta 3

St. George's FC 2

Hibernians 1

Pembroke 2

Quarter-finals

Sliema 2

St. Andrews 1

Floriana 0

Birkirkara 2

Balzan FC 1

Tarxien 0

Pieta 1

Pembroke 3

Semi-finals

Sliema 1

Birkirkara 0

Balzan FC 3

Pembroke 1

Final

Sliema 1

Balzan FC 0

Nadur vs Mdina

Malta

Nadur

Mdina

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Nadur

Mdina

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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