Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
42'
42'
117'
117'
AI Match Summary
Nadur in this FA Trophy 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nadur
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- St. Andrews haven't matched Nadur's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Nadur's way, sitting at 36%.
- Nadur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nadur, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nadur Clean Sheet 10%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nadur | St. Andrews |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.53 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 13, 2023 FA Trophy
Nadur vs St. Andrews
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nadur 34 / 100
St. Andrews 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nadur St. Andrews
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: St. Andrews conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Nadur scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
St. Andrews's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nadur VS St. Andrews
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nadur
(Home) 01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4 Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1 Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2 Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2 St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4 Birzebbuga
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2 Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2 St. Andrews
19 Nov
Nadur
7 : 1 Vittoriosa
08 Dec
Nadur
7 : 0 Oratory
Page 1 of 3
St. Andrews
(Away) 18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1 Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0 St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2 St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1 Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3 Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0 St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2 St. Andrews
14 Mar
Melita
3 : 0 St. Andrews
01 Mar
Fgura
2 : 0 St. Andrews
22 Feb
Balzan FC
1 : 4 St. Andrews
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Zejtun 3
Kercem Ajax 2
Luqa -
TBD -
St. George's FC 1
Swieqi 5
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Fgura 2
Hibernians -
TBD -
Melita 5
Qala Saints 7
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsa 2
Msida 5
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Nadur 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Sirens -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Kirkop 1
Lija 2
Xewkija -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Senglea 2
Pieta 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
1/16-finals
Marsaxlokk 5
Zejtun 0
Luqa 1
Swieqi 2
Floriana 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Zabbar 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira 2
Fgura 0
Hibernians 2
Qala Saints 0
Santa Lucia 2
Marsa 0
Msida 1
Mgarr 3
Birkirkara 3
Attard 1
Nadur 1
Sirens 2
Hamrun 3
Lija 0
Xewkija 0
Gudja 3
Mosta FC 5
Pieta 1
Valletta 7
Ghajnsielem 1
Sliema 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Balzan FC 2
Zurrieq 1
1/8-finals
Marsaxlokk 3
Swieqi 0
Floriana 7
Zebbug 1
Gzira 1
Hibernians 0
Santa Lucia 3
Mgarr 4
Birkirkara 1
Sirens 0
Hamrun 3
Gudja 0
Mosta FC 2
Valletta 1
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0
Quarter-finals
Marsaxlokk 0
Floriana 2
Gzira 2
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 3
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
Semi-finals
Floriana 3
Gzira 2
Birkirkara 0
Sliema 1
Final
Floriana 0
Sliema 1
