Sport Picks
Nadur vs Vittoriosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Malta
FA Trophy 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 7-1, with Nadur advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vittoriosa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nadur come out ahead of Vittoriosa on wins alone.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Vittoriosa taking it.
- Nadur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nadur, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nadur Clean Sheet 20%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nadur | Vittoriosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.53 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 19, 2022 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Vittoriosa
7:1
Oct 27, 2019 FA Trophy
Vittoriosa vs Nadur
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nadur 10 / 100
Vittoriosa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nadur Vittoriosa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vittoriosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.
Nadur's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Vittoriosa has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.
Nadur went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nadur VS Vittoriosa
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nadur
(Home) 01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4 Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1 Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2 Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2 St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4 Birzebbuga
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2 Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2 St. Andrews
19 Nov
Nadur
7 : 1 Vittoriosa
08 Dec
Nadur
7 : 0 Oratory
Page 1 of 3
Vittoriosa
(Away) 19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0 Gudja
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0 Vittoriosa
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3 Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1 Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1 Vittoriosa
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0 Vittoriosa
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1 Vittoriosa
15 Mar
Mgarr
1 : 1 Vittoriosa
03 Mar
Gudja
2 : 1 Vittoriosa
21 Feb
Marsa
2 : 2 Vittoriosa
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Kalkara 0
Tarxien 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Vittoriosa 1
Valletta -
TBD -
St. Andrews 0
Zabbar 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 5
Qrendi 0
Marsa 2
Melita 3
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Swieqi 3
Fgura 0
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pieta -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Lija 0
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Attard 3
Birzebbuga 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Marsaskala FC 2
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 1
Qala Saints 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 5
Oratory 1
Sirens -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 4
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 4
Nadur 0
Valletta 5
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Melita 0
Mosta FC 3
Swieqi 1
Zebbug 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 0
San Gwann 3
Mgarr 1
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 1
Attard 2
Kercem Ajax 8
Floriana 0
Santa Lucia 1
Zejtun 0
Marsaxlokk 5
Gzira 2
Sliema 0
Mtarfa 1
Qala Saints 2
Gudja 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 0
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 2
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Swieqi 1
Pieta 0
San Gwann 2
Hibernians 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Santa Lucia 0
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 3
Qala Saints 0
Gudja 1
Sirens 0
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 0
Mosta FC 5
San Gwann 0
Hibernians 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Gzira 2
Gudja 1
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 4
Mosta FC 3
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 1
Final
Birkirkara 2
Marsaxlokk 0
