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Nadur vs Xaghra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nadur in this FA Trophy 2017/2018 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nadur
15%
Draws
0%
Xaghra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nadur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nadur have won more games recently than Xaghra.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Nadur taking it.
  • Nadur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nadur, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nadur Clean Sheet 17%
Xaghra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nadur Xaghra
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 16 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.53 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.57 3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.30 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2017 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Xaghra
4:1
Sep 10, 2014 FA Trophy
Xaghra vs Nadur
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadur 66 / 100
Xaghra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nadur Xaghra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nadur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xaghra has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Xaghra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nadur scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nadur VS Xaghra
2.75 Goals Scored 1.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.86
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadur

(Home)
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0
Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4
Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1
Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2
Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6

Xaghra

(Away)
18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2
Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1
Xaghra
10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5
Victoria Hotspurs
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1
Xaghra
03 Mar
Xaghra
0 : 6
Hamrun
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Oratory 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 4
St. Lawrence 1
TBD -
Msida -
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
Munxar 3
Mellieha 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/64-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Melita -
TBD -
Kirkop 2
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Kercem Ajax 5
Oratory 4
TBD -
Attard -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Zurrieq 3
Qala Saints 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Nadur 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Xghajra 2
Msida 1
Victoria Wanderers 1
Xewkija 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Dingli Swallows 3
Mtarfa 1
TBD -
Zejtun -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera 4
Xbiex 1
TBD -
Kalkara -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Mdina 2
Mellieha 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/32-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Marsa 0
Santa Lucia 4
Melita 4
Ghajnsielem 3
St. George's FC 0
San Gwann 2
Kercem Ajax 2
Attard 0
Sirens 1
Zebbug 3
Qormi 4
Fgura 1
Zurrieq 1
Qrendi 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Birzebbuga 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Vittoriosa 7
Gharghur 1
Xghajra 2
Xewkija 5
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Siggiewi 4
Luqa 2
Pembroke 1
Pieta 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Mgarr 0
Mqabba FC 3
Marsaxlokk 5
Zabbar 0
Dingli Swallows 0
Zejtun 5
Lija -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
Kalkara 2
Swieqi 2
Mellieha 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja 3
Rabat Ajax 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
1/16-finals
Birkirkara 5
Santa Lucia 0
Melita 0
San Gwann 3
Kercem Ajax 5
Zebbug 1
Qormi 0
Qrendi 2
Hibernians 2
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Xewkija 4
Hamrun 1
Gzira 0
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 3
Valletta 2
Senglea 0
Siggiewi 2
Pieta 3
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zejtun 3
Lija 4
Kalkara 0
Swieqi 0
Tarxien 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Floriana 1
Gudja 1
Balzan FC 4
1/8-finals
Birkirkara 2
San Gwann 1
Kercem Ajax 3
Qrendi 4
Hibernians 3
Xewkija 0
Hamrun 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Zejtun 2
Lija 2
Tarxien 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Balzan FC 2
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Qrendi 0
Hibernians 0
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Zejtun 0
Lija 1
Balzan FC 3
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Sliema 1
Valletta 2
Balzan FC 1
Final
Birkirkara 1
Valletta 2