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Naesby vs Bronshoj

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naesby host Bronshoj in the 3rd Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Naesby have averaged 2.31 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Bronshoj's 1.34 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Naesby slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.38) point toward Naesby. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Naesby
20%
Draws
44%
Bronshoj
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bronshoj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Naesby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Naesby Clean Sheet 17%
Bronshoj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Bronshoj
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.31 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Bronshoj
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 3rd Division
Bronshoj vs Naesby
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Bronshoj
1:5
Sep 14, 2025 3rd Division
Bronshoj vs Naesby
3:2
May 17, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Bronshoj
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 31 / 100
Bronshoj 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Bronshoj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bronshoj's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Naesby remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Bronshoj
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
08 Aug
Vanlose
3 : 0
Naesby
04 Aug
Kolding BK
0 : 3
Naesby
01 Aug
Naesby
2 : 1
Sundby
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
18 Jul
Naesby
4 : 2
Skive
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Bronshoj

(Away)
08 Aug
Bronshoj
3 : 1
Sundby
04 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Koge
31 Jul
Bronshoj
0 : 0
Ishoj IF
25 Jul
Bronshoj
2 : 2
Hellerup
22 Jul
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Avarta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vanlose 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Bronshoj 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Holstebro 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
4 Helsingor 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
5 Holbaek 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Naesby 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
7 ASA Aarhus 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Ishoj IF 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Ringsted 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
10 Horsholm-Usserod 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
11 BK Frem 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Sundby 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)