Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naesby vs Djursland

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division West 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Hjorth M.
45' Event
Ragus N.
73' Event
Hermansen C.

AI Match Summary

Naesby in this 2nd Division West 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Naesby
15%
Draws
36%
Djursland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naesby lately — more wins on the board than Djursland.
  • Naesby are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2nd Division West 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Naesby have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Naesby Clean Sheet 20%
Djursland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Djursland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 26
Goals Scored 2.27 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 2nd Division West
Naesby vs Djursland
3:1
Aug 3, 2013 2nd Division West
Djursland vs Naesby
0:2
Apr 25, 2011 2nd Division West
Naesby vs Djursland
2:3
Nov 13, 2010 2nd Division West
Djursland vs Naesby
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragus N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hermansen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Djursland Compare

Top Goalscorer Hjorth M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 85 / 100
Djursland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Djursland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Djursland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Difficult form: Djursland registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
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Djursland

(Away)
01 Sept
Djursland
0 : 7
Skive
26 Feb
Brabrand
4 : 0
Djursland
03 Sept
Djursland
1 : 4
VSK Aarhus
07 Aug
Dronninglund
0 : 3
Djursland
04 Sept
Djursland
1 : 3
Jammerbugt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skive 30 25 2 3 78:28 77
2 Hellerup 30 15 10 5 51:39 55
3 Rishoj 30 15 8 7 57:40 53
4 Jammerbugt 30 15 7 8 56:42 52
5 Thisted FC 30 13 7 10 46:41 46
6 Ringkobing 30 13 5 12 55:49 44
7 Brabrand 30 11 9 10 51:46 42
8 Skovbakken 30 12 6 12 49:50 42
9 Middelfart 30 11 5 14 44:50 38
10 Svendborg 30 8 13 9 41:39 37
11 Naesby 30 9 9 12 49:52 36
12 Odder 30 9 9 12 38:44 36
13 FC Sydvest 05 30 9 6 15 51:70 33
14 Aarhus Fremad 30 7 11 12 29:42 32
15 Skanderborg 30 8 7 15 51:65 31
16 Djursland 30 1 4 25 22:71 7
Promotion - NordicBet Ligaen 2014/2015 (Main)