Sport Picks

Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 ALPI Arena Naesby

Naesby

1 - 0

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Schou Jorgensen M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Naesby and Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Naesby

Draws

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Naesby carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Naesby's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Naesby Clean Sheet 20%

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Naesby	Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
Matches Played	32	26
Wins	15	10
Draws	7	8
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	2.38	0.75
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 3rd Division

Naesby vs Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

May 2, 2026 3rd Division

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 vs Naesby

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Nov 15, 2025 3rd Division

Naesby vs Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Sep 27, 2025 3rd Division

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 vs Naesby

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 0 - 0

2:0

Apr 5, 2025 3rd Division

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 vs Naesby

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Schou Jorgensen M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 85 / 100

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Naesby Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Naesby went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000

2.38 Goals Scored 0.75

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nykobing	32	26	5	1	80:23	83
2	Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000	32	16	7	9	42:32	55
3	Naesby	32	16	5	11	63:50	53
4	Bronshoj	32	11	10	11	48:57	43
5	Vanlose	32	11	7	14	37:44	40
6	Horsholm-Usserod	32	9	6	17	47:63	33