Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naesby vs Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Schou Jorgensen M.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Naesby and Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Naesby
30%
Draws
16%
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Naesby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Naesby's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Naesby Clean Sheet 19%
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.24 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
1:0
May 2, 2026 3rd Division
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 vs Naesby
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 3rd Division
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 vs Naesby
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 3rd Division
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 vs Naesby
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Schou Jorgensen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 85 / 100
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Naesby went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
26 Sept
Ringsted
1 : 2
Naesby
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
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Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000

(Away)
26 Sept
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
1 : 2
Fremad Amager
18 Sept
Roskilde
5 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
13 Sept
Nykobing
3 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
05 Sept
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
2 : 2
Skive
29 Aug
VSK Aarhus
0 : 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 32 26 5 1 80:23 83
2 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 32 16 7 9 42:32 55
3 Naesby 32 16 5 11 63:50 53
4 Bronshoj 32 11 10 11 48:57 43
5 Vanlose 32 11 7 14 37:44 40
6 Horsholm-Usserod 32 9 6 17 47:63 33
Promotion - 2nd Division (Main)