Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naesby vs Helsingor

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Jorgensen M.
81' Event
Birkelund M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3rd Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Naesby
20%
Draws
51%
Helsingor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Helsingor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Naesby have won more games recently than Helsingor.
  • Naesby are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Naesby Clean Sheet 14%
Helsingor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Helsingor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.24 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Helsingor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Helsingor Compare

Top Goalscorer Birkelund M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 41 / 100
Helsingor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Helsingor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Helsingor let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Naesby has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Helsingor
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
Page 1 of 6

Helsingor

(Away)
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
13 Sept
Helsingor
2 : 1
Sundby
04 Sept
Bronshoj
2 : 1
Helsingor
28 Aug
Helsingor
1 : 0
Ishoj IF
25 Aug
Helsingor
2 : 5
Horsholm-Usserod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 9 6 1 2 24:17 19
2 Bronshoj 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Helsingor 9 5 2 2 17:11 17
4 Vanlose 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 ASA Aarhus 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
6 Naesby 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
7 Holstebro 9 4 1 4 16:18 13
8 Sundby 9 3 1 5 14:15 10
9 Horsholm-Usserod 9 2 3 4 17:18 9
10 BK Frem 9 2 2 5 16:18 8
11 Ishoj IF 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
12 Ringsted 9 1 1 7 11:25 4
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)