Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Naesby host Holbaek in the 3rd Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Naesby at 2.14 goals for, 1.31 against; Holbaek at 2.34 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Naesby slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 2.00) point toward Holbaek. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Naesby haven't matched Holbaek's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Naesby taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naesby | Holbaek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 2.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Naesby's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Holbaek conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Naesby has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Naesby
(Home)Holbaek
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbaek | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:18 | 23 |
| 2 | Bronshoj | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Vanlose | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Helsingor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Naesby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | 17 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Horsholm-Usserod | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 24:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Holstebro | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 18:26 | 13 |
| 9 | BK Frem | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 12 |
| 10 | Ishoj IF | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:21 | 11 |
| 11 | Sundby | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 12 | Ringsted | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15:31 | 5 |
