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Naesby vs Marienlyst

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Naesby and Marienlyst finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Naesby
6%
Draws
4%
Marienlyst
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Naesby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Naesby's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Naesby have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Naesby Clean Sheet 11%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Marienlyst
Matches Played 40 28
Wins 22 12
Draws 7 1
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 3 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Marienlyst
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Marienlyst
5:3
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Marienlyst
6:2
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Marienlyst vs Naesby
3:4
Feb 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Marienlyst vs Naesby
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 83 / 100
Marienlyst 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Marienlyst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (40 games).

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Marienlyst's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Naesby went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Marienlyst
3 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
18 Jul
Naesby
4 : 2
Skive
13 Jun
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 4
Naesby
06 Jun
Naesby
1 : 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
31 May
Nykobing
3 : 2
Naesby
25 May
Vanlose
0 : 2
Naesby
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Marienlyst

(Away)
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
27 Jul
Naesby
6 : 2
Marienlyst
10 Feb
Marienlyst
0 : 1
SfB-Oure
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