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Naesby vs Sundby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense
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Match Events

14' Event
Tomaselli A.
23' Event
Knudsen R.
51' Event
Langfeldt Eriksen E.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division game between Naesby and Sundby finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Naesby
15%
Draws
39%
Sundby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Naesby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Naesby are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Naesby Clean Sheet 13%
Sundby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Sundby
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.3 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Sundby
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Naesby
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Sundby
3:1
Nov 16, 2024 3rd Division
Sundby vs Naesby
0:3
Oct 12, 2024 3rd Division
Naesby vs Sundby
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomaselli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Knudsen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sundby Compare

Top Goalscorer Langfeldt Eriksen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 84 / 100
Sundby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Sundby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naesby scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sundby conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Naesby went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Sundby
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
03 Oct
Naesby
4 : 0
Holstebro
26 Sept
Ringsted
1 : 2
Naesby
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
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Sundby

(Away)
03 Oct
Sundby
0 : 1
Vanlose
26 Sept
BK Frem
0 : 3
Sundby
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Helsingor
2 : 1
Sundby
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7
Midtjylland
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 10 7 1 2 26:18 22
2 Bronshoj 10 5 4 1 18:10 19
3 Vanlose 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
4 Naesby 10 5 2 3 20:14 17
5 Helsingor 10 5 2 3 18:14 17
6 ASA Aarhus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
7 Holstebro 10 4 1 5 16:22 13
8 Horsholm-Usserod 10 3 3 4 20:19 12
9 Sundby 10 3 1 6 14:16 10
10 BK Frem 10 2 3 5 17:19 9
11 Ishoj IF 10 2 2 6 9:19 8
12 Ringsted 10 1 2 7 13:27 5
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)