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Naesby vs Tarup-Paarup

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Club Friendly 2024 ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense
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Match Events

10' Event
24' Event
40' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Naesby and Tarup-Paarup finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Naesby
20%
Draws
10%
Tarup-Paarup
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Naesby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Naesby's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Naesby have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Naesby Clean Sheet 20%
Tarup-Paarup Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Tarup-Paarup
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.41 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Tarup-Paarup vs Naesby
0:6
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Tarup-Paarup
5:2
Feb 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Tarup-Paarup vs Naesby
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 85 / 100
Tarup-Paarup 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Tarup-Paarup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Tarup-Paarup's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Naesby went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Tarup-Paarup
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
26 Sept
Ringsted
1 : 2
Naesby
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
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Tarup-Paarup

(Away)
05 Aug
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 3
Vejle
21 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 6
Naesby
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
24 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
1 : 1
Naesby
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