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Naesby vs Vanlose Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naesby host Vanlose in the 3rd Division. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Naesby at 2.23 goals for, 1.4 against; Vanlose at 1.34 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Naesby slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.69) point toward Naesby. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Naesby
30%
Draws
43%
Vanlose
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vanlose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naesby lately — more wins on the board than Vanlose.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Naesby Clean Sheet 13%
Vanlose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Vanlose
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.23 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
3:0
May 25, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Vanlose
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Vanlose
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 35 / 100
Vanlose 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Vanlose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanlose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vanlose let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Naesby has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Vanlose
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
26 Sept
Ringsted
1 : 2
Naesby
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
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Vanlose

(Away)
26 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 1
Bronshoj
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1
Vanlose
13 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 0
Ishoj IF
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 9 6 1 2 24:17 19
2 Bronshoj 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Helsingor 9 5 2 2 17:11 17
4 Vanlose 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 ASA Aarhus 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
6 Naesby 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
7 Holstebro 9 4 1 4 16:18 13
8 Sundby 9 3 1 5 14:15 10
9 Horsholm-Usserod 9 2 3 4 17:18 9
10 BK Frem 9 2 2 5 16:18 8
11 Ishoj IF 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
12 Ringsted 9 1 1 7 11:25 4
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)