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Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
1 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Engholm L.
Assist: Petersen V.

AI Match Summary

Naestved HG W host Aalborg W in the B-Liga Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Naestved HG W have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Aalborg W's 1.21 scored and 2.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Naestved HG W have won 4 to Aalborg W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.75 vs 1.25, favoring Naestved HG W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Naestved HG W
20%
Draws
23%
Aalborg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Naestved HG W have won more games recently than Aalborg W.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Naestved HG W taking it.
  • Regular B-Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Naestved HG W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 19%
Aalborg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved HG W Aalborg W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.69 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
3:0
Oct 3, 2026 B-Liga Women
Aalborg W vs Naestved HG W
1:4
Aug 15, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
1:0
Jun 13, 2026 B-Liga Women
Aalborg W vs Naestved HG W
1:7
Apr 25, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved HG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Engholm L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Aalborg W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved HG W 85 / 100
Aalborg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved HG W Aalborg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved HG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Naestved HG W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Naestved HG W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naestved HG W VS Aalborg W
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Naestved HG W

(Home)
09 Oct
Naestved HG W
3 : 0
Aalborg W
03 Oct
Aalborg W
1 : 4
Naestved HG W
26 Sept
Thisted FC W
0 : 4
Naestved HG W
19 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 1
Sundby W
12 Sept
B93 W
2 : 1
Naestved HG W
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Aalborg W

(Away)
09 Oct
Naestved HG W
3 : 0
Aalborg W
03 Oct
Aalborg W
1 : 4
Naestved HG W
26 Sept
Sundby W
2 : 1
Aalborg W
19 Sept
Aalborg W
0 : 0
Viborg W
13 Sept
Esbjerg W
2 : 4
Aalborg W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 B93 W 8 6 0 2 16:10 18
2 Sundby W 8 5 2 1 18:10 17
3 Osterbro IF W 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
4 Naestved HG W 8 4 1 3 16:8 13
5 Thisted FC W 8 4 1 3 23:23 13
6 Viborg W 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
7 Aalborg W 8 1 1 6 9:27 4
8 Esbjerg W 8 0 1 7 10:23 1
Promotion - B-Liga Women (Promotion)
Relegation - B-Liga Women (Relegation)