Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Martinez M.
45' Event
Gron L.
Assist: Dahl V.
51' Event
Dahl V.

AI Match Summary

Aalborg W in this B-Liga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalborg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Naestved HG W
20%
Draws
29%
Aalborg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalborg W haven't matched Naestved HG W's recent run of results.
  • Naestved HG W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 18%
Aalborg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved HG W Aalborg W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.72 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 B-Liga Women
Aalborg W vs Naestved HG W
1:4
Aug 15, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
1:0
Jun 13, 2026 B-Liga Women
Aalborg W vs Naestved HG W
1:7
Apr 25, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved HG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Aalborg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gron L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dahl V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved HG W 85 / 100
Aalborg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved HG W Aalborg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved HG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Naestved HG W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Naestved HG W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naestved HG W VS Aalborg W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Naestved HG W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aalborg W
1 : 4
Naestved HG W
26 Sept
Thisted FC W
0 : 4
Naestved HG W
19 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 1
Sundby W
12 Sept
B93 W
2 : 1
Naestved HG W
06 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 2
Viborg W
Page 1 of 6

Aalborg W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aalborg W
1 : 4
Naestved HG W
26 Sept
Sundby W
2 : 1
Aalborg W
19 Sept
Aalborg W
0 : 0
Viborg W
13 Sept
Esbjerg W
2 : 4
Aalborg W
06 Sept
Aalborg W
3 : 6
Thisted FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sundby W 10 8 1 1 26:14 25
2 B93 W 10 5 3 2 14:8 18
3 Naestved HG W 10 5 2 3 22:16 17
4 Viborg W 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
5 Aalborg W 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
6 Esbjerg W 10 0 3 7 13:24 3
Promotion - B-Liga Women (Main)