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Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Martinez M.
45' Event
Gron L.
Assist: Dahl V.
51' Event
Dahl V.

AI Match Summary

Naestved HG W host Aalborg W in the B-Liga Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Aalborg W have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Naestved HG W have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Naestved HG W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:7. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.56) point toward Naestved HG W. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Naestved HG W
6%
Draws
4%
Aalborg W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Naestved HG W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aalborg W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Naestved HG W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in B-Liga Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 15%
Aalborg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved HG W Aalborg W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 B-Liga Women
Aalborg W vs Naestved HG W
1:7
Apr 25, 2026 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 B-Liga Women
Aalborg W vs Naestved HG W
0:3
May 24, 2025 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Aalborg W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved HG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aalborg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gron L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dahl V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved HG W 84 / 100
Aalborg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved HG W Aalborg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naestved HG W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Aalborg W let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Naestved HG W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aalborg W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naestved HG W VS Aalborg W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sundby W1081126:1425
2B93 W1053214:818
3Naestved HG W1052322:1617
4Viborg W1041517:1613
5Aalborg W1022613:278
6Esbjerg W1003713:243