Sport Picks
Naft Al Basra vs Duhok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Naft Al Basra host Duhok in the Stars League 2024/2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Duhok have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Naft Al Basra have conceded 1.37 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Naft Al Basra have won 1 to Duhok's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 1, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.35 - 1.43) back Duhok to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Duhok come out ahead of Naft Al Basra on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Duhok's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Stars League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Duhok here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naft Al Basra | Duhok |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naft Al Basra Compare
Duhok Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Duhok has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Naft Al Basra's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Naft Al Basra stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Naft Al Basra
(Home)Duhok
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Shorta | 38 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 75:23 | 87 |
| 2 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 56:28 | 77 |
| 3 | Zakho | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 57:25 | 71 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 40:27 | 63 |
| 5 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 51:43 | 60 |
| 6 | Al Naft | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | 59 |
| 7 | Duhok | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:41 | 57 |
| 8 | Al Karma | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 43:35 | 56 |
| 9 | Newroz | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 46:41 | 53 |
| 10 | Al Qassim | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 43:43 | 52 |
| 11 | Naft Missan | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 42:46 | 51 |
| 12 | Erbil | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 49:61 | 50 |
| 13 | Al Kahraba | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 39:41 | 49 |
| 14 | Al Najaf | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 37:36 | 46 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 40:49 | 46 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 17 | Diyala | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 31:50 | 41 |
| 18 | Naft Al Basra | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 32:57 | 33 |
| 19 | Al Hudod | 38 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 37:79 | 26 |
| 20 | Karbala | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 26:66 | 22 |
