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Naft Al Basra vs Naft Missan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
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Match Events

38' Event
Mohammed A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2024/2025 game between Naft Al Basra and Naft Missan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naft Missan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Naft Al Basra
30%
Draws
39%
Naft Missan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naft Missan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naft Missan come out ahead of Naft Al Basra on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Stars League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Naft Al Basra Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Al Basra Naft Missan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Stars League
Naft Al Basra vs Naft Missan
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Naft Al Basra
1:0
Apr 4, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Naft Al Basra
1:2
Nov 24, 2023 Stars League
Naft Al Basra vs Naft Missan
0:2
Apr 25, 2023 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Naft Al Basra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Al Basra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Naft Missan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammed A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Al Basra 42 / 100
Naft Missan 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Al Basra Naft Missan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Missan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Naft Al Basra scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Naft Al Basra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naft Missan
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Al Basra

(Home)
14 Jul
Baghdad
1 : 0
Naft Al Basra
04 Jul
Naft Al Basra
4 : 3
Erbil
27 Jun
Diyala
2 : 2
Naft Al Basra
20 Jun
Naft Al Basra
1 : 3
Al Shorta
14 Jun
Zakho
2 : 1
Naft Al Basra
Page 1 of 6

Naft Missan

(Away)
08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Erbil
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)