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Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran Logo

Naft Gachsaran

0 - 1
FT
Ario Eslamshahr Logo

Ario Eslamshahr

Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Namazi M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ario Eslamshahr in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ario Eslamshahr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Naft Gachsaran
30%
Draws
52%
Ario Eslamshahr
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Naft Gachsaran haven't matched Ario Eslamshahr's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 18%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Gachsaran Ario Eslamshahr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 13 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.69 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:1
Jan 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran
0:0
Aug 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:0
Apr 16, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Gachsaran Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Namazi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Gachsaran 36 / 100
Ario Eslamshahr 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Gachsaran Ario Eslamshahr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ario Eslamshahr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Gachsaran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Naft Gachsaran's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ario Eslamshahr let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Naft Gachsaran VS Ario Eslamshahr
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Gachsaran

(Home)
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2
Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 6

Ario Eslamshahr

(Away)
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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