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Naft Gachsaran vs Fard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naft Gachsaran host Fard in the Azadegan League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Fard have shipped 0.45 goals a game lately, while Naft Gachsaran have conceded 1.13 and scored 0.77. Head-to-head, Naft Gachsaran have won 0 to Fard's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.44 vs 1.31, favoring Fard. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Naft Gachsaran
35%
Draws
43%
Fard
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Fard have won more games recently than Naft Gachsaran.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 18%
Fard Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Gachsaran Fard
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 13 14
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.77 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Fard
1:1
Sep 4, 2025 Azadegan League
Fard vs Naft Gachsaran
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Gachsaran 36 / 100
Fard 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Gachsaran Fard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Gachsaran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Naft Gachsaran scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Fard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 38% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Naft Gachsaran VS Fard
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Gachsaran

(Home)
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2
Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 7

Fard

(Away)
04 Oct
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1 : 0
Fard
27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Sept
Niroye Zamini
0 : 1
Fard
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0
Fard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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