Sport Picks
Naft Gachsaran vs Havadar SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Ghaseminejad A.
32'
32'
Zolfipour R.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Naft Gachsaran and Havadar SC finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naft Gachsaran
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Havadar SC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Naft Gachsaran's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 15%
Havadar SC Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Havadar SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 13 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Azadegan League
Havadar SC vs Naft Gachsaran
2:2
Jan 4, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Havadar SC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naft Gachsaran Compare
Top Goalscorer Zolfipour R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Havadar SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Ghaseminejad A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naft Gachsaran 75 / 100
Havadar SC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naft Gachsaran Havadar SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Naft Gachsaran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Naft Gachsaran has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Havadar SC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Naft Gachsaran's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Naft Gachsaran VS Havadar SC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Naft Gachsaran
(Home) 04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1 Foolad Novin Ahvaz
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1 Foolad Novin Ahvaz
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 3 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 3
Havadar SC
(Away) 05 Oct
Havadar SC
0 : 1 Pars Janoobi Jam
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0 Havadar SC
22 Sept
Havadar SC
0 : 3 Besat Kermanshah
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0 Havadar SC
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0 Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0 Havadar SC
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0 Havadar SC
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0 Havadar SC
03 Jul
Mazandaran
0 : 2 Havadar SC
21 Jun
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 1 Havadar SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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