Sport Picks
Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
59'
59'
Najafi A.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Naft Gachsaran and Kara Gostar Shabestar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kara Gostar Shabestar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kara Gostar Shabestar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kara Gostar Shabestar come out ahead of Naft Gachsaran on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Naft Gachsaran's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 18%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naft Gachsaran | Kara Gostar Shabestar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 0.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Gachsaran
1:0
May 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Gachsaran
2:0
Dec 28, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0
May 2, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Naft Gachsaran Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare
Top Goalscorer Najafi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Naft Gachsaran 36 / 100
Kara Gostar Shabestar 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Naft Gachsaran Kara Gostar Shabestar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Naft Gachsaran stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Naft Gachsaran scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Kara Gostar Shabestar has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Naft Gachsaran VS Kara Gostar Shabestar
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Naft Gachsaran
(Home) 04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1 Foolad Novin Ahvaz
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1 Foolad Novin Ahvaz
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 3 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 3
Kara Gostar Shabestar
(Away) 04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0 Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0 Kara Gostar Shabestar
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Kara Gostar Shabestar
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1 Kara Gostar Shabestar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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