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Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar Shabestar

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
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Match Events

59' Event
Najafi A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Naft Gachsaran and Kara Gostar Shabestar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kara Gostar Shabestar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Naft Gachsaran
11%
Draws
80%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kara Gostar Shabestar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kara Gostar Shabestar come out ahead of Naft Gachsaran on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kara Gostar Shabestar's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 20%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Gachsaran Kara Gostar Shabestar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Gachsaran
1:0
May 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Gachsaran
2:0
Dec 28, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0
May 2, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Gachsaran Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Top Goalscorer Najafi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Gachsaran 12 / 100
Kara Gostar Shabestar 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Gachsaran Kara Gostar Shabestar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Gachsaran's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Kara Gostar Shabestar let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Naft Gachsaran stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naft Gachsaran VS Kara Gostar Shabestar
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619