Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naft Gachsaran vs Shahin Bandar Ameri

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Karamolachaab R.
70' Event
Nabizadeh A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2023/2024 game between Naft Gachsaran and Shahin Bandar Ameri finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naft Gachsaran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Naft Gachsaran
35%
Draws
43%
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shahin Bandar Ameri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Shahin Bandar Ameri's 0.77 goals per match outpaces what Naft Gachsaran have produced (0.73).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 19%
Shahin Bandar Ameri Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Gachsaran Shahin Bandar Ameri
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 6 6
Draws 13 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.73 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.61 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Gachsaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Karamolachaab R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.47
Avg xA / game 0.3

Shahin Bandar Ameri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Gachsaran 32 / 100
Shahin Bandar Ameri 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Gachsaran Shahin Bandar Ameri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shahin Bandar Ameri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahin Bandar Ameri has conceded goals in 68% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Naft Gachsaran remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Naft Gachsaran's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Naft Gachsaran VS Shahin Bandar Ameri
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.6
50% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Gachsaran

(Home)
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2
Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 6

Shahin Bandar Ameri

(Away)
04 Oct
Shahin Bandar Ameri
2 : 0
Saipa
27 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2 : 2
Shahin Bandar Ameri
21 Sept
Shahin Bandar Ameri
0 : 0
Pars Janoobi Jam
15 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
10 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
2 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kheybar Khorramabad 34 25 2 7 59:25 77
2 Fajr Sepasi 34 22 7 5 50:17 73
3 Chadormalu 34 22 7 5 47:20 73
4 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 34 16 13 5 47:29 58
5 Saipa 34 13 11 10 35:28 50
6 Mes Kerman 34 11 15 8 28:24 48
7 Ario Eslamshahr 34 11 13 10 28:28 46
8 Mes Shahr Babak 34 11 11 12 32:26 44
9 Naft Gachsaran 34 10 13 11 35:26 43
10 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 11 10 13 27:34 43
11 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 11 10 13 33:42 43
12 Esteghlal Molasani 34 10 13 11 26:33 38
13 Shahre Raz 34 8 12 14 25:34 36
14 Shahrdari Astara 34 9 6 19 22:44 33
15 Damash Gilan 34 7 11 16 32:45 32
16 Darya Babol 34 6 13 15 30:41 31
17 Shahin Bandar Ameri 34 4 9 8 21:51 27
18 Khoosheh Talai 34 6 6 22 17:47 24
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