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Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Saipa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naft Masjed-Soleyman host Saipa in the Azadegan League. Naft Masjed-Soleyman go into this one as the clear favorite. Naft Masjed-Soleyman have averaged 1.07 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Saipa's 1.03 scored and 0.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Naft Masjed-Soleyman slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Naft Masjed-Soleyman. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
15%
Draws
49%
Saipa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saipa lately — more wins on the board than Naft Masjed-Soleyman.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman Clean Sheet 20%
Saipa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Masjed-Soleyman Saipa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 14 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Saipa
0:0
Oct 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2:0
May 30, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Saipa
0:0
Dec 5, 2023 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0:1
Mar 6, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Saipa vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Masjed-Soleyman 31 / 100
Saipa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Masjed-Soleyman Saipa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Masjed-Soleyman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Naft Masjed-Soleyman stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Naft Masjed-Soleyman scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Saipa conceded in 40% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Naft Masjed-Soleyman VS Saipa
1.2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.63
40% Over 1.5 38%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Masjed-Soleyman

(Home)
04 Oct
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1 : 0
Fard
28 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
3 : 2
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
22 Sept
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
18 May
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
Page 1 of 6

Saipa

(Away)
04 Oct
Shahin Bandar Ameri
2 : 0
Saipa
28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1
Niroye Zamini
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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