Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naft Missan vs Al-Karma

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Salam M.
90' Event
Abdelkader A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Naft Missan
44%
Draws
20%
Al-Karma
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Naft Missan haven't matched Al-Karma's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Missan Al-Karma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al-Karma
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Naft Missan
3:0
Feb 20, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al-Karma
3:2
Dec 6, 2024 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Naft Missan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naft Missan Compare

Top Goalscorer Salam M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al-Karma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Missan 37 / 100
Al-Karma 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Missan Al-Karma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Naft Missan scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Al-Karma conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Naft Missan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naft Missan VS Al-Karma
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Missan

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Gharraf
0 : 2
Naft Missan
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
24 May
Naft Missan
2 : 1
Al Najaf
19 May
Al-Qassim
2 : 5
Naft Missan
14 May
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Al-Karma
Page 1 of 6

Al-Karma

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3
Al-Karma
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
14 May
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Al-Karma
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)