Sport Picks
Naft Missan vs Al Mosul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
AI Match Summary
Naft Missan host Al Mosul in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Naft Missan have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Al Mosul's 1.33 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Naft Missan slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.00) back Al Mosul to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Mosul have won more games recently than Naft Missan.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Naft Missan taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Naft Missan | Al Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Al Mosul conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Naft Missan scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Al Mosul lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Naft Missan
(Home)Al Mosul
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23:10 | 30 |
| 2 | Newroz | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 18:5 | 26 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:7 | 25 |
| 4 | Al Shorta | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 15:7 | 24 |
| 5 | Al Golan | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 23 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 7 | Erbil | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 8 | Duhok | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Al Minaa | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | 17 |
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 9:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Al Talaba | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15:18 | 16 |
| 12 | Diyala | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Al Gharraf | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | 14 |
| 14 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Zakho | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 16 | Al Karkh | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 17 | Al Mosul | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 19 | Naft Missan | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 8:19 | 9 |
| 20 | Karbala | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | 7 |
